Service Plays Tuesday 05/05/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Mets Monday night.

Today it's the Cavaliers. The surplus is 740 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

May 5, 2009

Hondo, who'd won seven straight before his bubble burst in Wrigley on Sunday, went draino again last night thanks to the Yanks' failure to contribute.

Today, with the earnings down to 365 stennetts, he'll take a 10-unit stab in the daylight with Uehara over the Rays. Also, he'll go against the Bucs, just for the Snell of it -- 10 units on Suppan.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(961) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(962) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Take "(962) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS"

Brett Myers is getting closer to where he wants to be, but the Phillies righty isn't there yet. He's had troubles keeping the ball in the park and is walking too many hitters. Adam Wainwright has also been a little off with his control, but he's looking sharper. Big edge in the numbers vs, opponent catagory for Wainwright, so I'll look for the Cardinals to even up this series with the win tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist Bonus Play

(975) BOSTON RED SOX
(976) NEW YORK YANKEES
Take "(976) NEW YORK YANKEES"

Boston is not a great road team, not last season and that's been the case in 2009. They just went to struggling Tampa Bay and lost 3 of 4 games and now it's on to homer happy New York. Starter Joba Chamberlain keeps improving, with a 3.71 ERA his last three starts. Boston starter Josh Beckett struggled down the stretch last season and in the playoffs as his velocity dropped. Rumors were that he was battling an injury. Well, now he is off to a poor start in 2009 with a 6.00 ERA, with control trouble (13 walks in 24 innings). You can't walk anyone in this small park. While Beckett has the reputation of being a NY killer because of the 2003 World Series, note that he has a 5.90 ERA against them in a Red Sox uniform. Play the Yankees.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Malinsky

Has lost 120 units in basketball and baseball since april 20th.


Tuesday NBA

4* #706 CLEVELAND over ATLANTA
The fact that Cleveland is an outstanding team that not only brings a proper focus to the table, but also a lot of rest and preparation time for this one, is out there for everyone to see. The fact that Atlanta is an extremely limited team in terms of tactics and fundamentals, and not only carries a measure of fatigue off of the Miami series but also has little prep time, is also out there for everyone to see. And usually in such settings value is difficult to come by. But not this time. Not only do we see overwhelming overall edges to Cleveland for this series, but they are particularly strong for this opener. And asking for the Cavaliers to win by a dozen points is not asking much at all in this setting.
Cleveland is 7-1 at home in the playoffs the last two seasons, winning the eight games by a combined total of 112 points, or 14.0 per game. When you factor that three of those games came against a Boston team on the way to a championship, that says an awful lot. And in the three games here they beat the Celtics by a combined 40 points, or 13.3 per game. Now it is a team that has not only had another season of working together to develop that outstanding defensive chemistry, but the addition of Maurice Williams brings offensive explosiveness that was formerly missing. They toyed with Detroit in winning by a combined 30 points on this floor in the first round, and because of the mentality that they bring to the table, we expect a tenacious “send a message” level of intensity in this opener.
The Hawks bring a glass jaw against that kind of punch. While our opinion of them is not high, this aspect is merely fact – they have played seven road playoff games the past two seasons, going 1-6, and the losses have reached a low that only a savvy spelunker could find, falling by 23, 19, 24 and 34 at Boston LY, and by 29 and 26 in absolutely horrendous showings at Miami over the past two weeks. While there is some individual talent and athleticism, the X’s and O’s lag far what playoff teams at this stage usually bring, and they show little heart to compete when things are not going well. How bad were the losses at Miami? During the regular-season the biggest margin of victory the Heat had through 82 games was 26 points.
As for the matchups, neither the points nor the rebounds come easily for Atlanta. At this stage Mike Bobby can no longer penetrate to create shots for the rest of the team, which makes him easy to guard, and they showed throughout the Miami series an inability to deal with double teams on Joe Johnson. Now they step up against a much higher level of defense, which only enhances those weaknesses, and it means a lot of empty trips in the early stages. Given their lack of punch, leadership and heart, it also means a long evening of playing from behind, and with the carry-over fatigue from having to go seven games against Miami, we see this margin only growing as the evening goes on.

4* #710 DENVER over DALLAS
In Game #1 our focus was on the Total in this one, with our break-down keying on how many of the key cogs were running into difficult defensive matchups. And what we see going forward is one team that can deal with those issues, and another that simply can not. Call #2 a blowout similar to the opener, perhaps even wider.
Dallas got a sensational first quarter from Dirk Nowitzki on Sunday, and he keyed a 24-16 advantage after that period. But the game, and we believe the series, turned early. After Nowitzki got off to a 5-5 start from the field, a message got sent with a hard foul by Kenyon Martin with 5:57 left in the quarter. It was a wake-up call that the Nuggets needed following that New Orleans series that had been too easy, and after Dallas scored three points on that particular possession (Martin’s foul got him whistled for a technical), the rest of the game was +20 points in Denver’s favor. Nowitzki was not the same, going 7-17 after that hot start, with most of them difficult looks, and the Nuggets were physically dominant in all aspects of the game. This picks up where that one left off.
Dallas is a soft team. The Mavericks had excellent offensive efficiency numbers during the regular season, but as we noted on Sunday almost none of those elements can get to their usual gear here – Nowitzki faces defenders in Martin and Chris Anderson that will make him work hard for everything he can get; Josh Howard is up against Carmelo Anthony, who now tries on that end; Jason Kidd just has an awful team against Chauncey Billups (twice as many turnovers as assists on Sunday); and Jason Terry has tough one-on-one defenders in Dahntay Jones and Anthony Carter to shadow him. The Mavs were an offensive disaster on Sunday, with an inability to get the ball to the basket (only 13 free throw attempts, one of those coming on the aforementioned technical), and 20 turnovers vs. only 17 assists, but they masqueraded some of that with 48.8 percent shooting. This time the shooting is unlikely to reach that level again, which poses serious issues.
Denver can turn those issues into easy points once again. The Nuggets are far quicker in the open court, which means a lot of easy opportunities off of Dallas turnovers or misses, and in the half-court they also found that they could use their quickness to advantage, particularly from J. R. Smith. While the fact that only two of his 13 shot attempts were from beyond the arc will not show on many radar screens, it was only the third time all season he took more than 10 shots in a game with two or fewer being triples. He made 7-11 on those forays to the basket, while also getting to the free throw line often while dishing out six assists, and the Mavericks do not have a counter for him. In Game #2 we can also expect more floor minutes from Anthony, who only played 29:22 in the opener, and Chauncey Billups will far better than his 2-8 performance. The fact that the Nuggets could win so easily with that performance from him, and a team total of 25-36 from the free throw line, speaks volumes.
Denver brings the energy to once again beat Dallas in the open court, which inevitably means the kind of runs that we saw turn Sunday’s game around. And the Mavericks simply lack the quickness and defensive tenacity to be able to chase from behind<!-- / message -->

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#951 - MLB - 3 units on Houston -120
#962 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -115
#973 - MLB - 3 units on Minnesota +108
#977 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox +123

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#709 - NBA - 3 units on Dallas +6.5

 

[Hap]

MLB.King POD

10 Units Toronto

 

[chuba]

steve merrill is playing the indians game over 10

gl

 

[jnc750]

Anthony Redd

Tuesday's Card
5 Dime Hawks



5 Dime Hawks-Cavaliers Over



5 Dime Nuggets

 

[HBUKO1]

WHO Will Cover

San Francisco (-110) at CHICAGO By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper
Get my 200? Winner tonight in the playoffs, as I continue this torrid run through the postseason. I'm on a 4-0 run with Playoff releases involving the Nuggets both paid and complimentary. Tonight I give you the Game 2 side and total combo in one package.

Let's get to your comp winner ...

Tim Lincecum has come along nicely, after starting the year a little suspect, and has now struck out 33 batters over 23 innings, while allowing a mere four runs and 16 hits in his last thee starts. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA on the season and comes in with a decent showing against the Cubbies. Lincecum is 2-1 with a 2.54 ERA in four career outings – all starts – against Chicago, including a perfect 1-0 mark and 1.26 ERA in two starts at Wrigley Field, where he’s fanned 17 and allowed just eight hits in 14-1/3 frames.
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I know the Giants’ offense has been lethargic, but this is the type of group that performs when it has a hurler that pitches well enough to keep his team in the game. That’ll be the case in this matinee, especially since the Cubbies have lost all seven games Sean Marshall has started since he won July 6 of last season. He’s 1-2 with a 7.79 ERA in four career games - three starts - against the Giants, so let’s look for an easy win for Frisco here.

1? GIANTS (Lincecum)

NY Mets at ATLANTA (-120) By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
We are 4-1 the last 5 days with our comp plays!

Last night's Mets-Braves game featured 4 homers, as the teams played OVER the total in the series opener.

Both teams have now played OVER the total in their last pair of games, and we feel that we are staring at another HIGH-SCORING game tonight with Hernandez, and Kawakami on the hill.

Livan Hernandez has made 4 starts for the Mets, and 3 of the 4 have landed OVER the total. For the season Hernandez sports an ERA of 6.33, and the last 2 times he has faced the Braves he has allowed 12 runs to score in just 8 innings of work.

Kenshin Kawakami counters, and he has allowed 14 runs his last 16 innings of work to balloon his ERA to just over 7 for the year.

The bats will be salivating this evening, as we play OVER the total once again.

Play the HIGH.

4? OVER

Philadelphia at ST. LOUIS (-125) By Jeff Benton, Featured Handicapper
Hope you enjoyed that easy free-play winner with the Magic over the Celtics on Monday night, a result that brings my free-play run to 24-14 with my last 38 selections. For Tuesday, we’ll go back to baseball – where I’m on a 13-4 roll with Bonus Plays! – and back the Cardinals against Philadelphia.<o></o>
<o></o>
This is all about Redbirds starter Adam Wainwright. Not only is the St. Louis right-hander coming off back-to-back quality starts, but he’s one of the few hurlers in the National League that’s tamed this potent Phillies lineup. Wainwright has faced the Phillies five times in his career (three starts, two relief appearances) and given up just three runs in 23 innings. That’s a 1.17 ERA. In those 23 innings, Wainwright has held the Phillies to a .229 team batting average, and St. Louis is 3-0 in his three starts against Philadelphia, winning by scores of 2-1, 10-2 and 8-3.<o></o>
<o></o>
By comparison, Phillies starter Brett Myers is 3-2 all-time against the Cardinals, but that comes with a 5.19 ERA, a 1.57 WHIP and a .308 batting-average against. Oh, and a certain Albert Pujols is hitting .346 against Myers with two home runs in 26 at-bats.<o></o>
<o></o>
Throw in the fact that even with last night’s 6-1 loss to the Phillies, the Cardinals are still 10-4 at home this season and 23-9 in their last 32 overall going back to last season, and I’ll lay this small price, especially since we’ve got the vastly superior starting pitcher in Wainwright.

4? ST. LOUIS (based on a 1? to 10? scale)

Ariona at LOS ANGELES (-145) By Karl Garrett, Featured Handicapper
Comp play winner last night on Houston-Lakers UNDER the total. Now 101-78-4 with my Bonus Play releases.

Tonight on the diamond, have to lay the wood with the Dodgers, as LA looks to make it a perfect dozen at Chavez Ravine.

Los Angeles easily dispatched Arizona last night, 7-2, as the Dodgers improved to 11-0 at home this season. The Diamondbacks are just 3-5 on the road for the year, and they are just 3-7 at LA since last year.

Jeff Weaver will make his 2009 debut tonight, and he will go against the 0-2 Max Scherzer.

Scherzer sports an under 1 ERA on the road through 2 starts, but the way the Los Angeles bats have been swinging the sticks, and the mojo that LA has right now at home, it is hard to make a convincing case for the underdog tonight.

G-Man going to lay the chalk, and look for the Dodgers to improve to 12-0 at home.

3? LOS ANGELES

Boston (+115) at N.Y. YANKEES By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
Got the FREE winner on the diamond Monday when the Phillies went to St. Louis and scored a nice plus-money victory. Today we've got another 'dog that will come in as we play the Red Sox in New York against the Yankees.

The Red Sox won the rain-delayed game on Monday night and have now won four straight over their rivals this season. We're going to get the plus-money while we can with them tonight to make it five in a row.

Josh Beckett (2-2, 7.22 ERA) is on the mound for Boston and he was the starter in the April 25 matchup with the Yankees that finished 16-11 in favor of the Red Sox. He's had back-to-back rough outings but this guy is a true professional and you know he would love nothing more than to right the ship against the Bronx Bombers.

Boston has won five of Beckett's last six starts against the Yankees and he's allowed three runs or less in five of thos six.

Joba Chamberlain is going for the Yankees and he allowed just two runs in 5.1 innings of work against the Red Sox on April 24 but Boston rallied to win 5-4.

Boston is 18-8 in Beckett's last 26 starts in the second game of a series and they are 13-4 in thei alst 17 overall. We're going to grab the plus money and play them to get this one in New York.

2? BOSTON
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[jnc750]

Burns
7* Mavs
8* Hawks
6* Under Redwings
7* Under Blackhawks
7* Under Astros
9* Oakland A's

 

[SHABAZ29]

VERY EARLY* ANNIHILATOR (17-4 L21 TOTALS!) - May 05/09
MLB Ben Burns $40.00
Ben Burns followed up Sunday's SWEEP by delivering a SWEET 4-1 card on Monday. That brings him to a SIZZLING 7-1 the L2 days & a SUPERB 18-4 the L6. Yesterday's card featured another pair of winning o/u bets, bringing this renowned "Totals Expert" to an AWESOME 17-4 his L21 totals. More of the same EARLY this
PLAy ON WASHINTION AND HOUSTON UNDERS

STEPHEN NOVER AND SCOTT RICKENBACK BOTH MATCH UP WITH
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS on th MONEY LINE



STEVE MERILL EARLY TOTAL
CLEVLAND/TORONTO OVER 10.5

PAID AND CONFIRMED
GOOD LUCK

 

[pandas]

Gold star sports plays

MLB Blue Jays 6 Units
MLB Dodgers 3 Units
NBA Cavaliers-11 3 Units

Good luck

 

[rocky2]

JIM FEIST

5* NBA Hardcourt Crusher!

ATLANTA HAWKS / CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take ATLANTA HAWKS

Atlanta played outstanding defense in topping the Heat in 7 games, slowing the pace to a crawl often. They held Miami to under 80 points three times. Now they face a team with far more offensive weapons, but Cleveland is content to play any style. They slowed down the pace against the disinterested Pistons the last game. Atlanta shot just 44%, 42% and 41% shooting in three meetings. Look for Atlanta to slow the pace down to try and hang with the mighty Cavs, and low scoring tilts give dog a much better chance to hang in there. Play the Hawks.


Home Field Crusher!

MILWAUKEE BREWERS / PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Take PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Milwaukee's recent hot run is a bit of a mirage, winning 3 games by one run. They just took two out of three from the punchless D-Backs. Now they head out on the road after a 7-game home streak. The Milwaukee Brewers have beaten the Pirates an incredible 15 straight times, but this is not a good Brewers group, with no team speed and ranked 11th in batting, 9th in runs in the NL. Jeff Suppan is not someone you want to keep a win streak going, with a 7.32 ERA. Pittsburgh starter Ian Snall is 4-2 against the Brewers with a 3.21 ERA. The talented Snell is also on a roll, with a 1.89 ERA his last three starts. A great spot for the home team. Play the Pirates.

 

[rocky2]

Charlie Sports:
500* Dallas @ Denver Over 206
30* Cleveland -11'
20* Atlanta @ Cleveland Under 179
20* Dallas +6
10* Boston +125
Giants -115 Bonus Play

 

[rocky2]

Chip Chirimbes

Dallas at Denver
Pick: Dallas +6.5

If the Dallas Mavericks are to have a chance at winning this game in Denver they must protect the ball better against the Nuggets. Jason Kidd had an offensive meltdown in game one but this seasoned pro will bounce back as he should here. That MAVERICKS!

 

[chuba]

ted servansky
over in boston/yanks game 3 units

gl

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Arsenal/Man United under 2.5

Hawks +11.5